04-06-2007, 04:13 PM
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#4
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Banned
Join Date: Mar 2006
Posts: 6,123
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Re: Still more global warming evidence
Quote:
Originally Posted by patsfan13
Actually this is speculation based on computer models not based on observation and historical data.
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I bet this data is based on a favorite little trick of these types of researchers... Remember that report last summer that said the oceans would run out of fish by 2050..? This is what those researches did (and I suspect these drought researchers did a similar thing)...
Suppose you have the following data on the population of fish in the oceans (units of 1,000,000,000)...
1995:100
1996:105
1997:103
1998:98
1999:95
2000:99
2001:103
2002:101
2003:104
2004:102
2005:100
A researcher can take those data and conclude "Oh no..!! The entire fish population will be extinct within 50 years..!!" because all they've done is isolated the current trend and projected it forward - which is horribly faulty science.
Last edited by QuiGon; 04-06-2007 at 04:14 PM..
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