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Yes I know Rasmussen is the most negative poll towards The Idiot so add 5% or whatever to these numbers if you like. But for the first time, his Strongly Approve minus Strongly Disapprove has hit -2%. And while it moves around a lot, being daily, he has been at +2% or worse every day since June 17 when he was averaging +7 or so. He was at +28% on inauguration day.
Even overall approval is down to +8 compared to +13 on June 17 and +35 on inauguration. We're one piece of good news from this jumping up, I get it, but if this continues it will make Dems far more wary of passing more spending bills.
Any, yes, I know this will be bumped when something good happens and he's back to +15 overall. But whatever you say about Rasmussen, for the last two weeks the trend is clear.
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The gap is tightening, and it's probably because change makes people uneasy. After all, it's still an open question whether Obama's various initiatives will make our country safer, richer, and fairer. My guess is the polls will continue to get closer until their are more signs of economic recovery, though I bet Obama will get a nice bump if health care is passed later this year.
I bet Obama will get a nice bump if health care is passed later this year.
Depends on how much it costs and what details come out. The country is generically for health care reform. However they may be against it depending on the details - like how to pay for it, whether illegals get covered, etc.
I say he knows the economy won't be in recession in 2012 and that alone will be enough to get him re-elected. So now is the time to get a politically troublesome piece of work over and done with.
I agree with your first statement - and almost with your second with the exception that I think most expect the Republicans to gain a few seats in the midterms, the minority party usually does, which is why he needs to get this big stuff done now. Not that I expect a big (R) win, the Senate is predicted to stay about where it is with the House being a SMALL (R) gain.