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Strong Obama: California (55), Connecticut (7), Delaware (3), DC (3), Hawaii (4), Illinois (21), Maine (4), Maryland (10), Massachusetts (12), New Jersey (15), New York (31), Rhode Island (4), Vermont (3), Washington (11) 14 States 183 EC Votes
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He has Michigan and PA for Obama - PA probably stays there with Biden, although it's just a 5 point lead. Michigan, though, is a 4 point lead and would be a 34 EC swing if McCain could reverse it. If McCain could somehow win FL (27), OH (20, and MI (17) that would give him 258. I suspect PA is the real reason Biden was picked.