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Old 12-16-2012, 11:13 AM   #1
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Default By Tonight, Pats could be either #1, #2, or #3 seed

If I have this calculated correctly, by the end of the day the Pats could any of the top 3 seeds.
Seed #1-
If Houston loses and the Pats win, both will be 11-3 and the
Pats take the #1 by virtue of head to head having won vs Houston last week. It doesn't matter what Denver does because even if they win to be 11-3 as well, the Patriots will have defeated both of them and head to head is first tiebreaker.
Seed #2 (current)
If the Patriots and Houston both win today, the Patriots (at 11-3) would be the #2 seed to Houston's 12-2. Even if Denver wins to be 11-3, Pats own head to head tiebreaker.
Seed #3-
If the Patriots lose and Baltimore wins, the Pats fall to the #3 seed. Houston would be #1 and the remaining three teams would be 10-4 BUT Baltimore would win the tiebreaker (first tiebreaker is head to head) since they would have defeated BOTH NE and Den. This drops the Pats and Den to #3 and #4 and Pats beat Denver so they would get the #3 seed.

Seed #3 scenario 2

If the Patriots lose and Denver wins, Houston and Denver are the #1 and #2 since Denver would have a better record 11-3 than the Pats' 10-4. Baltimore at 9-5 would be the #4 seed.

Seed #4 I can't envision any scenario ( including ties) where the Pats could end the day as the #4 seed.
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Old 12-16-2012, 11:51 AM   #2
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Default Re: By Tonight, Pats could be either #1, #2, or #3 seed

Quote:
Seed #3 scenario 2
If the Patriots lose and Denver wins, Houston and Denver are the #1 and #2 since Denver would have a better record 11-3 than the Pats' 10-4. Baltimore at 9-5 would be the #4 seed.
This is the worst scenario. By 4 pm we will know if tonights game is make or break game for a bye.
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Old 12-16-2012, 12:12 PM   #3
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Default Re: By Tonight, Pats could be either #1, #2, or #3 seed

So, it sounds like we are looking for wins from Indi and Denver today.

This is assuming a Pats win tonight.
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Old 12-16-2012, 12:38 PM   #4
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Default Re: By Tonight, Pats could be either #1, #2, or #3 seed

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So, it sounds like we are looking for wins from Indi and Denver today.

This is assuming a Pats win tonight.
I'm rooting for the Ravens a this point since we'll still get the edge on the Ravens and Broncos if we lose tonight and then all end 12-4.
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Old 12-16-2012, 01:00 PM   #5
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Default Re: By Tonight, Pats could be either #1, #2, or #3 seed

Looking like a 2 or 3 seed at best

Indy is getting pounded at this point,that game is going to be a blowout
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Old 12-16-2012, 01:09 PM   #6
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Default Re: By Tonight, Pats could be either #1, #2, or #3 seed

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Looking like a 2 or 3 seed at best

Indy is getting pounded at this point,that game is going to be a blowout
10-3 with a fumble on the goal line, it could be closer.

Indy is also likely to be playing for more in Week 16 when they get Houston at home so I don't think the #1 seed is set in stone yet.
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Old 12-16-2012, 01:14 PM   #7
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Default Re: By Tonight, Pats could be either #1, #2, or #3 seed

guys the only thing that matters is that the pats have a higher seed than the broncos. if the pats are 5 and the broncos are 6 that is ok.

@DEN is the only thing that slows up a SB trip.
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Old 12-16-2012, 01:38 PM   #8
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Default Re: By Tonight, Pats could be either #1, #2, or #3 seed

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guys the only thing that matters is that the pats have a higher seed than the broncos. if the pats are 5 and the broncos are 6 that is ok.

@DEN is the only thing that slows up a SB trip.
I don't like the Pats chances if they have to go to Houston after destroying them last week,going to be a lot of revenge in mind if a rematch happens.

I am hoping the Texans get upset,I worry more about going to Houston than Denver.

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Old 12-16-2012, 01:48 PM   #9
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Default Re: By Tonight, Pats could be either #1, #2, or #3 seed

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Originally Posted by Patradomous View Post
This is the worst scenario. By 4 pm we will know if tonights game is make or break game for a bye.
Well denver is going to win..so tonight is close to a must win for this team...at home...i think they do it
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Old 12-16-2012, 01:54 PM   #10
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Default Re: By Tonight, Pats could be either #1, #2, or #3 seed

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Originally Posted by PATRIOTSFANINPA View Post
I don't like the Pats chances if they have to go to Houston after destroying them last week,going to be a lot of revenge in mind if a rematch happens.

I am hoping the Texans get upset,I worry more about going to Houston than Denver.
The Patriots are better than the Broncos and Texans.
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