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Old 10-30-2012, 03:45 PM   #61
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Default Re: What a Mess

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Originally Posted by goheels22002 View Post
Great statistic!

One of those losses was the most recent Super Bowl when the Patriots passed 41 times (68%) and rushed 19 times (32%). Five more rushing plays and, more likely than not, the Patriots would have won.
Even as a great supporter of "the Pats need to run more" I think the bar should really be set at 35%. Even games that have a 50/50 split through 2 even 3 quarters can get skewed late when down. Take the Cardinals game where the split was pretty even through 3 and then ended up @ 38/62. However the games where they don't use the run much to open generally trend much lower; like the Seahawks game that finished @ 31/69.
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Old 10-30-2012, 03:49 PM   #62
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Default Re: What a Mess

Quote:
Originally Posted by goheels22002 View Post
Great statistic!

One of those losses was the most recent Super Bowl when the Patriots passed 41 times (68%) and rushed 19 times (32%). Five more rushing plays and, more likely than not, the Patriots would have won.
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Old 10-30-2012, 04:10 PM   #63
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Fair enough. I took from your post (the one I originally commented on) that Bradford should have scored more points simply because he had a high completion percentage (replying that YPA is too important a factor to leave out of that equation). But your intended view of factoring in what Bradford missed downfield versus what the Patriots wouldn't give him due to good coverage/scheme??? I got no idea . I didn't notice the wide view enough to be able to offer an educated guess. I recall he missed a couple of better options but that means little (even TB and the best QBs aren't going to see the best option every time). I look forward to seeing film breakdown (if anyone does that this week).
I hear what you're saying. I'm hoping it's looked at by some of the media, so I can get their take on it.

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With that said, I think we all should be happy about one thing, after the first series no more of those really big plays that have been killing the Patriots. A robust offense and a solid run D (as well as solid punting and kicking), the only thing the Patriot secondary MUST do is not allow those big plays. The Patriots can/will win a lot of games with that formula even with opposing QBs consistently having good numbers against our below average coverage secondary.
I see a team that would, or at least should, be runaway favorites to win the Super Bowl if the secondary can get to something like 'average'. That's why I was bringing up the question/issue. If the new starters were getting it done after just a game of playing together, rather than it being more about the opposing QB/playcalls, that would be a really great sign, even with the depletion of the Rams receivers.
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