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Old 10-29-2012, 09:51 AM   #51
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I think they'll finish out the 2nd half of the season 8-0 and end up 13-3.
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Old 10-29-2012, 09:57 AM   #52
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Old 10-29-2012, 10:42 AM   #53
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So far this year no one has been able to stop the Pats' balanced offensive juggernaut except for our own coaching staff. When we abandon balance and go to a more pass-happy approach, it's been an entirely different matter.
As Professor Terguson said to Thornton Mellon, "I like the way you think."

It's all about the balance.

To put it in numbers, the Pats have now played 61 games since 2009 began.

Their record in games in which 40% of the plays were running plays is 36-5.
Their record in games with less than 40% running plays is 8-12.

The amount of yards per carry has been mostly meaningless. There are +40% games in which they ran for less than 2 ypc but still won and -40% games in which they ran for more than 4 ypc but still lost. It's the number of running plays that keep the defense off balance (there's that word again).
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Old 10-29-2012, 10:54 AM   #54
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Im not trying to sound pessimistic, but it's 1 win against an inferior opponent. No doubt the team played great yesterday - offense, special teams and defense. However, I'm going to save my enthusiasm for if they beat Houston and SF. Right now I don't want to be too high or too low.
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Old 10-30-2012, 08:32 AM   #55
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As Professor Terguson said to Thornton Mellon, "I like the way you think."

It's all about the balance.

To put it in numbers, the Pats have now played 61 games since 2009 began.

Their record in games in which 40% of the plays were running plays is 36-5.
Their record in games with less than 40% running plays is 8-12.

The amount of yards per carry has been mostly meaningless. There are +40% games in which they ran for less than 2 ypc but still won and -40% games in which they ran for more than 4 ypc but still lost. It's the number of running plays that keep the defense off balance (there's that word again).
Although I agree with Mayo and your point, some of that data is potentially suspect as to whether it actually supports the point.

In any game where a team gets up by a large margin (say 2+ tds); the team is going to start running the ball more to burn clock and get it over with. In a couple of the 4Q collapses this season it was actually either too much run or at least mis-timed runs that led to 3 and outs and giving the other team a chance to come back.

Not sure how to blow into more detail to figure out which came first chicken or the egg (maybe w/L by games that had 40% of runs in Q1-Q3), but I dont think your stat is truly conclusive.
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Old 10-30-2012, 08:45 AM   #56
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Although I agree with Mayo and your point, some of that data is potentially suspect as to whether it actually supports the point.

In any game where a team gets up by a large margin (say 2+ tds); the team is going to start running the ball more to burn clock and get it over with. In a couple of the 4Q collapses this season it was actually either too much run or at least mis-timed runs that led to 3 and outs and giving the other team a chance to come back.

Not sure how to blow into more detail to figure out which came first chicken or the egg (maybe w/L by games that had 40% of runs in Q1-Q3), but I dont think your stat is truly conclusive.
Well, it's fairly convincing evidence of a correlation, but which way the causality goes is clearly an open question.
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Old 10-30-2012, 09:53 AM   #57
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Come on. 19-27 for 136 yard is not impressive at all.
2/9 on 3rd downs is pathetic.
You don't score points by completing passes that don't result in first downs.
19-27-136 with a pick, 2 sacks and 2/9 on 3rd downs adding up to zero points, a missed FG, and going for it on 4th from around the 35 and failing, is about what is should add up to.
Your statement was that those passing stats make it surprising they only put up 7 points, and it really isn't surprising at all. Are you saying that teams put up great point totals completing 70% of passes for 7 yards per completion and converting 2 3rd downs all day? The numbers add up to the score.
You might also want to point out to the "imperious one" that fully half the Rams passing yardage for the game was attained in just 2 drives. The first one and the last one
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Old 10-30-2012, 02:43 PM   #58
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You might also want to point out to the "imperious one" that fully half the Rams passing yardage for the game was attained in just 2 drives. The first one and the last one
Nah, I've made my point, no need to belabor it.
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Old 10-30-2012, 03:06 PM   #59
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I don't know why everybody is so bent each week on the extremes. Bottom line they held the Rams to ten points less than their season average and held Bradford to under his season's average in passing yards. It's a sign of progress and growing not a signal they've arrived. Just like last week vs the Jets wasn't a sign of the impending apocalypse.

If they can build on this every week and we get to the Houston game and they hold them to ten points under their season average and under their average yards and then we're really looking at something.
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Old 10-30-2012, 03:16 PM   #60
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To put it in numbers, the Pats have now played 61 games since 2009 began.

Their record in games in which 40% of the plays were running plays is 36-5.
Their record in games with less than 40% running plays is 8-12.
Great statistic!

One of those losses was the most recent Super Bowl when the Patriots passed 41 times (68%) and rushed 19 times (32%). Five more rushing plays and, more likely than not, the Patriots would have won.
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