Quote:
Originally Posted by MP-Logick
It's kind of hard to argue for a "return to the run" when the worst rushing team in the NFL just won the Super Bowl.
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Rushing rankings of past SB winners (rank by rush yards gained):
2001 - NE - #13, 112.1 yds, 3.8 avg
2002 - TB - #27, 97.3 yds, 3.8 avg
2003 - NE - #27, 100.4 yds, 3.4 avg
2004 - NE - #7, 133.4 yds, 4.1 avg
2005 - Pit - #5, 138.9 yds, 4.0 avg
2006 - Ind - #18, 110.1 yds, 4.0 avg
2007 - NYG - #4, 134.3 yds, 4.6 avg
2008 - Pit - #23, 105.6 yds, 3.7 avg
2009 - NO - #6, 131.6 yds, 4.5 avg
2010 - GB - #24, 94.9 yds, 4.0 avg
2011 - NYG - #32, 89.2 yds, 3.5 avg
2007 New England Patriots - #13, 115.6 yds, 4.1 avg
2011 New England Patriots - #20, 110.3 yds, 4.0 avg
A couple of observations:
(1) Clearly you don't need a great, or even a good, running game to win the Super Bowl. 6 of the 11 teams were below average in that department, and 3 of the last 4 have been downright bad at it.
(2) The 2007 and 2011 Patriots had better running games than most of the last 11 SB winners, and yet they didn't win the SB.
Now, let's take that list and see how each of the SB winners did in the rushing department in terms of yards and avg in the SB that they won.
2001 - NE - #13, 112.1 yds, 3.8 avg - SB: 133 yds, 5.3 avg
2002 - TB - #27, 97.3 yds, 3.8 avg - SB: 150 yds, 3.6 avg
2003 - NE - #27, 100.4 yds, 3.4 avg - SB: 127 yds, 3.6 avg
2004 - NE - #7, 133.4 yds, 4.1 avg - SB: 112 yds, 4.0 avg
2005 - Pit - #5, 138.9 yds, 4.0 avg - SB: 181 yds, 5.5 avg
2006 - Ind - #18, 110.1 yds, 4.0 avg - SB: 191 yds, 4.5 avg
2007 - NYG - #4, 134.3 yds, 4.6 avg - SB: 91 yds, 3.5 avg
2008 - Pit - #23, 105.6 yds, 3.7 avg - SB: 58 yds, 2.3 avg
2009 - NO - #6, 131.6 yds, 4.5 avg - SB: 51 yds, 2.8 avg
2010 - GB - #24, 94.9 yds, 4.0 avg - SB: 50 yds, 3.8 avg
2011 - NYG - #32, 89.2 yds, 3.5 avg - SB: 114 yds, 4.1 avg
Observations:
(1) 6 of the 11 teams rushed for more yards in the SB than they gained on average per game during the regular season. In other words, 54.5% of the time over the past 11 years, the SB-winning team's running game "stepped up" in the SB.
(2) 4 of the last 5 SB winners were the opposite, however. In fact, 4 of the last 5 SB winners didn't even get to 100 yards rushing. 3 of the last 4 SB winners didn't even gain 60 yards on the ground.
(3) In the Patriots' last two SBs, the Giants were 50-50....1 time they gained more in the SB than they averaged during the year (2011) and 1 time they gained less in the SB than they averaged during the year (2007).
Long story short: there's more than one way to skin a cat. You can do it by running the ball well or by passing the ball well. You can do it with a powerful offense and a relatively weak defense. You can do it with a strong defense playing well in the big spots.
I think what we want from the Patriots (or what *I* want, anyway) is for them to have the ability to win a game any way possible. If they need to put up tons of points in a shootout, they can do that. If they need to grind out the clock on the ground and get first downs when they need to, they can do that. If they need to make a big stop on defense, they can do that.