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Old 11-21-2007, 11:34 AM   #1
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Default Cold hard math doesn't lie

38 TDs in 10 games = 3.8 TD per game average.
6 games left.
12 TDs to beat 49 in 6 games is 2 TD per game average.

Opponents left on the schedule:
'00 Ravens (I mean 4-6 Ravens)
'68 Jets (I mean 2-8 Jets that pissed off a coach)
'72 Dolphins (I mean 0-10 Dolphins)
'04 Eagles (I mean an Eagles team with a battered secondary and half a QB.)

At this point I see 55 or more. Easily. I could see 60 if they let him play it out.
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Old 11-21-2007, 11:38 AM   #2
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Default Re: Cold hard math doesn't lie

If we are 15-0 going into the meadowland and the gents are in line for a playoff game, they probably wont start alot of their top guys, give then a rest for playoffs, meaning if the pats do decide to go for it, TB could have 5-6 td's in that 1 game, IMHO...
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Old 11-21-2007, 11:50 AM   #3
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Default Re: Cold hard math doesn't lie

AND Randy will catch 3 or so versus each the Jets and Dolphins, thats enough to tie Rice's record and he'll catch a couple others in the other games to break it.
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Old 11-21-2007, 11:58 AM   #4
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Default Re: Cold hard math doesn't lie

The pace heis on is 61. 65 would be one more PER GAME than the current record.
That would require 4 a game plus 3 games with 5. Anyone think that is impossible?
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Old 11-21-2007, 12:03 PM   #5
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The pace heis on is 61. 65 would be one more PER GAME than the current record.
That would require 4 a game plus 3 games with 5. Anyone think that is impossible?
Dood, with this team ? anythings possible...
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Old 11-21-2007, 12:12 PM   #6
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Default Re: Cold hard math doesn't lie

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Originally Posted by AndyJohnson View Post
The pace heis on is 61. 65 would be one more PER GAME than the current record.
That would require 4 a game plus 3 games with 5. Anyone think that is impossible?
I think that its highly likely Brady could have 7 or 8 TDs against the Jets. In fact, the Jets game could be a game where all sorts of scoring records are set.
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Old 11-21-2007, 12:38 PM   #7
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Default Re: Cold hard math doesn't lie

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The pace heis on is 61. 65 would be one more PER GAME than the current record.
That would require 4 a game plus 3 games with 5. Anyone think that is impossible?
I'd like BB to try and break the single game TD pass record against the Jets and Miami (which I believe is 8 TDs).

If Brady were to average 6 TDs in these two games (which is possible but not likely (~35% in my mind)), that would give him 50 TDs on the season with 4 games uncounted. Clearly 15 TDs in four games is possible. I'd give him 50% odds of that for a grand total of under 20%.

If Brady were to set a mark like 65, it would immediately become one of those magical unbreakable sports records, like 55.

Last edited by solman; 11-21-2007 at 12:38 PM..
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Old 11-21-2007, 02:05 PM   #8
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Default Re: Cold hard math doesn't lie

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Originally Posted by Fire_The_Muskets View Post
If we are 15-0 going into the meadowland and the gents are in line for a playoff game, they probably wont start alot of their top guys, give then a rest for playoffs, meaning if the pats do decide to go for it, TB could have 5-6 td's in that 1 game, IMHO...


Yup - Belichick, Brady and the entire team, at 15-0 will choose to pass up football immortality so they can get one week of rest instead of two!

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Old 11-21-2007, 04:05 PM   #9
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Yup - Belichick, Brady and the entire team, at 15-0 will choose to pass up football immortality so they can get one week of rest instead of two!


????????

10
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Old 11-21-2007, 04:26 PM   #10
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Default Re: Cold hard math doesn't lie

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Yup - Belichick, Brady and the entire team, at 15-0 will choose to pass up football immortality so they can get one week of rest instead of two!

He was referring to the Giants who if they have clinched a wildcard may rest up their banged up WR and others in week 17 since wildcards play on the road without a bye...
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