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Old 09-19-2007, 10:07 PM   #1
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Default Aikman Efficiency Ratings

For what it's worth.. It's nice to see the Colts' offense rated way below ours.

http://troyaikman.wordpress.com/cate...iency-ratings/
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Old 09-19-2007, 10:33 PM   #2
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Default Re: Aikman Efficiency Ratings

Whats his formula for this poop. Our defense below average?
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Old 09-19-2007, 10:37 PM   #3
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Default Re: Aikman Efficiency Ratings

His formula must be utter bull****. He has the Colts, Packers, Texans, Vikings..., BROWNS, BENGALS!!!! Listed ahead of the Patriots. And this is supposed to be through week 2. How on Earth are 2 teams they gave up more than 40 points each in one game manage to get a better defensive rating than the Patriots who are OFFICIALLY ranked #1 in Defense? This guy needs to lay off the drugs. Oh no, another scandal coming...
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Old 09-19-2007, 10:42 PM   #4
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Default Re: Aikman Efficiency Ratings

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Originally Posted by Satchboogie3 View Post
His formula must be utter bull****. He has the Colts, Packers, Texans, Vikings..., BROWNS, BENGALS!!!! Listed ahead of the Patriots. And this is supposed to be through week 2. How on Earth are 2 teams they gave up more than 40 points each in one game manage to get a better defensive rating than the Patriots who are OFFICIALLY ranked #1 in Defense? This guy needs to lay off the drugs. Oh no, another scandal coming...
Browns are second to last there chief. Bengals are also below the Pats.
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Old 09-19-2007, 10:46 PM   #5
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Default Re: Aikman Efficiency Ratings

Opps, must have accidentally scrolled back up. Anywho, doesn't change the fact that that is just plain wrong. Ranking 21 teams higher on Defense when we are ranking #1 officialy is so no right. This guy must have gone to Cape Cod Community College.
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Old 09-19-2007, 10:59 PM   #6
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Default Re: Aikman Efficiency Ratings

A defensive ranking of 22 for the pats seems kind of hard to fathom under any ranking system.

I think the Aikman system probably relies heavily on red zone performance. I believe we've only allowed a team in our red zone four times and they've scored TDs all four times. It could be something like that.
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Old 09-19-2007, 11:02 PM   #7
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Default Re: Aikman Efficiency Ratings

And if that is the case, as I said, it is flawd.
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Old 09-19-2007, 11:06 PM   #8
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Default Re: Aikman Efficiency Ratings

Quote:
Originally Posted by Satchboogie3 View Post
And if that is the case, as I said, it is flawd.


Well, it's a small sample size. The rankings are trying to predict winning tendencies, not a compilation of defensive stats. Our defensive stats are just skewed away from the metrics those ratings are tracking right now. It'll work itself out.
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Old 09-19-2007, 11:06 PM   #9
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Default Re: Aikman Efficiency Ratings

Quote:
Originally Posted by Satchboogie3 View Post
Opps, must have accidentally scrolled back up. Anywho, doesn't change the fact that that is just plain wrong. Ranking 21 teams higher on Defense when we are ranking #1 officialy is so no right. This guy must have gone to Cape Cod Community College.
We look at five major categories - yards per play, turnovers, points, first downs and red zone performance.

I believe Patriot opponents have a 100% success rate in the red zone so far this season, which is also why the points-against results are good but not great.

3 takeaways in two games is also nothing special.

Now, I don't like a below-average outcome for the Pats. I think the defensive result was OK in the first game, and excellent in the second, so they should have an above-average rank overall, perhaps high single-digit. But he's also not crazy.
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Old 09-19-2007, 11:07 PM   #10
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Default Re: Aikman Efficiency Ratings

It's probably based on factors that relate to things like opponet's previous production. That would explain it for our defense. The Jets and Chargers have faced two stiff defenses so they haven't been that productive. I imagine that once a team like the Chargers gets going, this will be more accurate. Remember, it's only got two games so far. Many statistical models require a minimum sample size before they start being acurate.
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