01-04-2007, 09:11 PM
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#10
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In the Starting Line-up
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 3,390
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Re: Fun Bash of Two Flatulent Boobs
Quote:
Originally Posted by Return of the Nizz
Funny of course, but some of the mathematical conclusions of the hypothesis are a little shaky, ie the percentage of unsuccesful attempts. Obviously every time you go on fourth down you plan on making it.
Also, the raw numbers aren't very meaningful without context. What were the situations/field positions of 2005 compared to 2006. Not trying to rain on the Borges/Felger bashing because they're complete tools, but the premise of the article is so-so.
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I agree that the line "the Patriots actually accepted a higher percentage of failed 4th downs with Adam Vinatieri than they did with Stephen Gostkowski" is a little misleading, but the premise is sound IMHO. I would be willing to be that every single one of the 4th down attempts fell within 3 categories
1) late game, losing, no other choice.
2) Too far to go for a FG and too close to punt
3) 4th and 1 or 2 from the opposing side (or maybe from the NE 40 on)
I will admit that it seemed that NE tried for a few first downs from the 20-30 that they may have tried with Adam, but I don't think it is a significant amount.
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