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Old 12-27-2009, 07:24 PM   #1
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Default 5 real wild-card candidates

The teams at 8-7 are Pitt, Baltimore, Denver, Houston, Jesters.

Two play bad teams next week. Two play division champs likely to use the game as a partial bye. One plays Miami. So it seems to be pretty much a lock that at least two will win, so that the wild-card teams will indeed come from that group.

None, obviously, is a pushover. But all are eminently beatable.
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Old 12-27-2009, 07:29 PM   #2
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Default Re: 5 real wild-card candidates

I heard that the Ravens and the Jests control their destinies so if they win they are in.....Other than that I don't know
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Old 12-27-2009, 07:31 PM   #3
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Default Re: 5 real wild-card candidates

Quote:
Originally Posted by Fencer View Post
The teams at 8-7 are Pitt, Baltimore, Denver, Houston, Jesters.

Two play bad teams next week. Two play division champs likely to use the game as a partial bye. One plays Miami. So it seems to be pretty much a lock that at least two will win, so that the wild-card teams will indeed come from that group.

None, obviously, is a pushover. But all are eminently beatable.
Jets are the best bet
Then Denver
Then Baltimore
Then Houston
Pitt has the worst chance of getting in.

I'm basing this on the idea that Cincy and Patriots will use the week as a bye. If they sit guys, then that's the order for qualifying.
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Old 12-27-2009, 07:47 PM   #4
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Default Re: 5 real wild-card candidates

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I heard that the Ravens and the Jests control their destinies so if they win they are in.....Other than that I don't know
Negative. Broncos and Jets win and they're in.

The Donks play KC at Mile High and the Jets play Cincy at the closing game of the Meadowlands, with Cincy having nothing to play for...

Thus, Denver would be #5 and Jests #6.

Unless Vesuvius erupts, we play the Jets in the first round.
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Old 12-27-2009, 07:50 PM   #5
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Default Re: 5 real wild-card candidates

Don't know how accurate Yahoo's NFL Playoff Generator is but if all the 8-7 teams win next week, then it's the Ravens and Jets w/ the Pats playing the Ravens.
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Old 12-27-2009, 07:55 PM   #6
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Default Re: 5 real wild-card candidates

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Negative. Broncos and Jets win and they're in.

The Donks play KC at Mile High and the Jets play Cincy at the closing game of the Meadowlands, with Cincy having nothing to play for...

Thus, Denver would be #5 and Jests #6.

Unless Vesuvius erupts, we play the Jets in the first round.

You are wrong. The Ravens beat the Broncos, so they are ahead of the Broncos. If Jets and Ravens win, they are in.

More than likely we are going to face the Ravens in the first round.
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Old 12-27-2009, 07:55 PM   #7
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Default Re: 5 real wild-card candidates

Don't know how accurate Yahoo's NFL Playoff Generator is but if all the 8-7 teams win next week, then it's the Ravens and Jets w/ the Pats playing the Ravens.

Thats what I thought as well.
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Old 12-27-2009, 07:58 PM   #8
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Default Re: 5 real wild-card candidates

upstater1 has been all over it since day one, I'm going to trust him

as far as the 'yahoo generator,' it has been wrong the whole time, even jerome bettis has talked about it on his show
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Old 12-27-2009, 07:59 PM   #9
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Default Re: 5 real wild-card candidates

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You are wrong. The Ravens beat the Broncos, so they are ahead of the Broncos. If Jets and Ravens win, they are in.

More than likely we are going to face the Ravens in the first round.
No it doesn't work that way.

If Balt is tied with more than just the Broncos, then head-to-head doesn't count. You'd need to go to the next tiebreaker which is conference record, and then common opponents etc.

It may still be that Baltimore gets in but you need to run through the scenarios.
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Old 12-27-2009, 08:07 PM   #10
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Default Re: 5 real wild-card candidates

NFL.com AFC playoff scenario, updated very recently, says the Jets and Denver control their own destiny:

1 Indy
2 SD
3 Pats
4 Cincy
5 Denver
6 Jets
(on the outside looking in.....)
7 Balt
8 Texans
9 Steelers

As I see it, the Jets (Sanchez led) and Denver are very beatable games. Take the #3 seed and hope for win over SD and a Cincy win over Indy. AFCCG is then in Foxboro....
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