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The board was pretty evenly split on whether this weeks game would be low-scoring or high-scoring. In the low-scoring camp there were quite a few who were pretty close to the final score, but just one predicted it perfectly.
Sean Pa Patriot has been playing in this contest a long time, only one week missed since 2006. That's over 70 weeks... without a win... until now.
Congratulations to this week's Predict the Score winner, Sean Pa Patriot, with a perfect score!
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There are two ways to look at the season standings right now.
One way is as a two-man race, a very close two-man race. pats1 trails borg by just 2 points, and is 20 points ahead of third place.
On the other hand, it looks like the contest has at least 3 weeks to go, and 30 points can can be made up with one or two good weeks. There's a pack lurking back there, 10th place is only 29 out.
So stay tuned as Pats and Patsfans make their playoff drive...
This week's average score was 14, your score if you missed your one allowed week and gained a * next to your name.
Code:
1. borg This week 14 Prev 152 ( 1.) Total 166
2. pats1 This week 10 Prev 158 ( 2.) Total 168
3. jgpatriot This week 10 Prev 178 ( 4.) Total 188 *
LXPX This week 17 Prev 171 ( 3.) Total 188 *
5. bostonia3333 This week 3 Prev 186 (10.) Total 189
6. jbb9s This week 9 Prev 184 ( 9.) Total 193
jmt57 This week 14 Prev 179 ( 6.) Total 193
smg93 This week 14 Prev 179 ( 6.) Total 193
bbabin This week 15 Prev 178 ( 4.) Total 193
10. fumbrunner This week 4 Prev 191 (15.) Total 195
11. chrisfx811 This week 9 Prev 193 (17.) Total 202
Calciumee This week 14 Prev 188 (12.) Total 202
PatsFanSince74 This week 14 Prev 188 (12.) Total 202
14. CheekyDave This week 10 Prev 193 (17.) Total 203
italian pat patriot This week 14 Prev 189 (14.) Total 203
16. SmokeShowin This week 11 Prev 193 (17.) Total 204 *
17. makoute This week 12 Prev 194 (20.) Total 206
xmarkd400x This week 15 Prev 191 (15.) Total 206 *
19. Tunescribe This week 9 Prev 198 (23.) Total 207
Bostonian1962 This week 20 Prev 187 (11.) Total 207
21. cavtroop This week 14 Prev 194 (20.) Total 208
22. chris_in_sunnyvale This week 3 Prev 207 (35.) Total 210
23. alamo This week 31 Prev 180 ( 8.) Total 211
24. BradfordPatsFan This week 10 Prev 203 (30.) Total 213
PatsChick87 This week 11 Prev 202 (29.) Total 213 *
MrTibbs This week 14 Prev 199 (27.) Total 213
27. PatsDeb This week 14 Prev 200 (28.) Total 214 *
dtbrks This week 16 Prev 198 (23.) Total 214
29. cstjohn17 This week 10 Prev 205 (31.) Total 215 *
NEWNYJETS This week 10 Prev 205 (31.) Total 215
PatsWickedPissah This week 17 Prev 198 (23.) Total 215
32. Liverpool_Patriot This week 4 Prev 213 (45.) Total 217
33. Pat the Pats Fan This week 11 Prev 207 (35.) Total 218
34. Ginger_Ale This week 14 Prev 206 (33.) Total 220 *
billdog3484 This week 23 Prev 197 (22.) Total 220
36. NJPatsfan26 This week 4 Prev 218 (49.) Total 222
PatriotPat This week 14 Prev 208 (38.) Total 222
38. pwes This week 13 Prev 211 (43.) Total 224 *
39. shakadave This week 15 Prev 210 (41.) Total 225
40. drew4008 This week 14 Prev 212 (44.) Total 226
DarrylS This week 17 Prev 209 (40.) Total 226
42. Schmo This week 21 Prev 207 (35.) Total 228
43. Bill B. This week 4 Prev 226 (54.) Total 230
44. ddell1 This week 14 Prev 217 (47.) Total 231 *
BradyFTW! This week 21 Prev 210 (41.) Total 231
46. PatsFanJess This week 18 Prev 214 (46.) Total 232 *
Seymour93 This week 24 Prev 208 (38.) Total 232 *
48. everlong This week 7 Prev 226 (54.) Total 233
JSn This week 15 Prev 218 (49.) Total 233
50. Two Eight This week 17 Prev 217 (47.) Total 234
ScrewDrvr This week 28 Prev 206 (33.) Total 234
52. PATRIOTSFANINPA This week 4 Prev 231 (60.) Total 235
53. Willie55 This week 10 Prev 226 (54.) Total 236
PATSNUTme This week 16 Prev 220 (51.) Total 236
55. Ryan This week 18 Prev 223 (53.) Total 241
56. PrairiePat This week 10 Prev 232 (62.) Total 242 *
57. bakes781 This week 7 Prev 236 (64.) Total 243
58. Mike the Brit This week 15 Prev 229 (58.) Total 244
JR4 This week 24 Prev 220 (51.) Total 244
60. IndianPat This week 14 Prev 231 (60.) Total 245
61. Patsfanin Philly This week 20 Prev 227 (57.) Total 247
62. tatepatsfan This week 16 Prev 233 (63.) Total 249
63. Calhoun44 This week 15 Prev 237 (65.) Total 252
64. taltos This week 11 Prev 244 (69.) Total 255
65. Mix This week 10 Prev 246 (72.) Total 256
vyrago This week 13 Prev 243 (68.) Total 256
67. Metaphors This week 20 Prev 238 (67.) Total 258
68. 102 Pat This week 11 Prev 250 (74.) Total 261
69. Stokes This week 17 Prev 245 (70.) Total 262
70. Its_The_Patriots This week 15 Prev 248 (73.) Total 263
71. Sean Pa Patriot This week 0 Prev 265 (80.) Total 265 *
72. SpiderFox53 This week 21 Prev 245 (70.) Total 266 *
73. Ford Prefect This week 16 Prev 253 (75.) Total 269 *
74. Poker This week 15 Prev 256 (76.) Total 271
75. Ghost of Ben Dreith This week 14 Prev 259 (78.) Total 273 *
76. Gwedd This week 18 Prev 258 (77.) Total 276
77. Robdude This week 20 Prev 259 (78.) Total 279 *
78. CampPen33 This week 6 Prev 292 (84.) Total 298 *
Horace's Ivories This week 21 Prev 277 (81.) Total 298
80. PatRiot This week 13 Prev 286 (83.) Total 299 *
81. A.C Vegas This week 20 Prev 283 (82.) Total 303
82. Jimke This week 13 Prev 303 (86.) Total 316 *
83. fgssand This week 37 Prev 302 (85.) Total 339
84. khayos This week 38 Prev 499 (88.) Total 537
Thanks to Alamo for keeping this going. Great contest this year.
PFS74 has been slowly creeping up the board, a couple of slots a week. While the pundits on HSPN are saying the best he can hope for at 36 points behind in Week 16 is a top five finish, they are underestimating the competitive fires that burn within his Patriots heart, so great is his confidence that his team has six more games to play.
__________________
It is what it is. It wasn't what it wasn't.
Last edited by PatsFanSince74; 12-23-2009 at 09:26 AM..
There are two ways to look at the season standings right now.
One way is as a two-man race, a very close two-man race. pats1 trails borg by just 2 points, and is 20 points ahead of third place.
On the other hand, it looks like the contest has at least 3 weeks to go, and 30 points can can be made up with one or two good weeks. There's a pack lurking back there, 10th place is only 29 out.
i think last year, i made up between 18 and 24 points on everyone in front of me on the last game of the season so this is wide open. at the end, if you are a risk taker, you need to start predicting some statistical anomalies since that is the only way to make up large point spreads with only a week or 2 left.
Also, thanks a lot for putting this contest on for another year. Do you think in the offseason you would be willing to consider rule changers to people that miss a week.? I feel like anyone who misses a week should be penalized the same as anyone else all season but awarding an average for that week specifically could actually be better than recording a guess of your own. On the contrary, if you miss a week and the score is in line with predictions, the avg could be 7 or something like that. Maybe you just take the 15 best scores and if you guess all 16 then that player gets to drop 1. If you miss, you obviously can't drop. Another choice would be to avg the entire season's weekly score and then plug that into every misser's score at the end of the last game....
Do you think in the offseason you would be willing to consider rule changers to people that miss a week.? I feel like anyone who misses a week should be penalized the same as anyone else all season but awarding an average for that week specifically could actually be better than recording a guess of your own. On the contrary, if you miss a week and the score is in line with predictions, the avg could be 7 or something like that. Maybe you just take the 15 best scores and if you guess all 16 then that player gets to drop 1. If you miss, you obviously can't drop. Another choice would be to avg the entire season's weekly score and then plug that into every misser's score at the end of the last game....
If he's going to make any changes, I hope Alamo opens if for discussion. I kind of like the current system. If for no other reason than that it is simple.
Regarding your suggestions, I understand the second but would argue that it would wreck the horserace all season (which is one of the really fun features of the contest) because we wouldn't know until the last week what the average of averages was. Plus, it's just too darn complicated. Speaking of complicated, I don't even understand what your first suggestion is.
I also think being able to tactically skip a week where you feel there is excessive randomness at play isn't a bad feature of the game. You give up the chance for a big gain by nailing the answer despite the uncertainties but can settle for the average, which might be very high or moderate.
__________________
It is what it is. It wasn't what it wasn't.
Last edited by PatsFanSince74; 12-23-2009 at 10:21 AM..
If he's going to make any changes, I hope Alamo opens if for discussion. I kind of like the current system. If for no other reason than that it is simple.
I will definitely post a discussion thread and/or poll, though I can't guarantee any changes will be made. Simplicity is good and any change has to be easily understandable.
Quote:
Originally Posted by PatsFanSince74
Regarding your suggestions, I understand the second but would argue that it would wreck the horserace all season (which is one of the really fun features of the contest) because we wouldn't know until the last week what the average of averages was.
Anything based on season averages would have to be recomputed weekly so the standings would adjust a little at a time. This might make things too complicated to understand though, people would ask "I was off by 20 points this week but my score changed by 22, why???" (due to the missed week score recalculation).
I kind of like the "worst score is dropped" but it would also have to be recomputed weekly. And I am afraid that one bad game by the Pats, New Orleans for example this season, will lead to half the board registering their worst score of the season and thus negate the benefits. Dropping one score only helps if you get a 30 when the entire board gets a 10, if everyone gets a 30 dropping it is a wasted effort.
Quote:
I also think being able to tactically skip a week where you feel there is excessive randomness at play isn't a bad feature of the game. You give up the chance for a big gain by nailing the answer despite the uncertainties but can settle for the average, which might be very high or moderate
Agreed, but its use is limited since if you can tell with any certainty which week skipping would benefit you, you could also probably do well enough that week to get a better than average score. The first 3 years I had a rule "no skipping allowed in the final week" but I dropped it, it seemed an unnecessary complication considering until you get to the SB you don't actually know which week will be the final week.
At season end I might try a couple of these ideas and recompute the standings as if they had been implemented, as a test.
If he's going to make any changes, I hope Alamo opens if for discussion. I kind of like the current system. If for no other reason than that it is simple.
Regarding your suggestions, I understand the second but would argue that it would wreck the horserace all season (which is one of the really fun features of the contest) because we wouldn't know until the last week what the average of averages was. Plus, it's just too darn complicated. Speaking of complicated, I don't even understand what your first suggestion is.
I also think being able to tactically skip a week where you feel there is excessive randomness at play isn't a bad feature of the game. You give up the chance for a big gain by nailing the answer despite the uncertainties but can settle for the average, which might be very high or moderate.
the "confusing" suggestion was simply that your 15 scores count. If you put in a guess for all 16 games then you get to drop your lowest. If you miss a week, you don't get to drop your worst score.
I had no idea that people actually skipped a week on purpose because they think it is better to strategically take the average. I thought it was for people that were travelling and missed a week or just forgot or whatnot. Interesting.....
If I win again, I request that the results are posted before Alamo's 3 month winter vacation as there is no reason why the celebration should be held up.
Again, thanks Alamo for putting this on each year.
On another note, I'm very happy to see that, although I'm not near the head of the pack, I'm still remaining consistent with about 18 points per guesstimate.. sigh...
Predict the Score RESULTS, Week 15 NE @ BUF
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