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Old 11-25-2008, 08:34 PM   #1
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Default Playoff odds
From Football Outsiders. Discuss.

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Old 11-25-2008, 08:38 PM   #2
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Default Re: Playoff odds
Geez, I didn't realize that our odds were so bad.
32% chance of making the Play offs?!?
That's perfect, though.
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Old 11-25-2008, 08:45 PM   #3
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Default Re: Playoff odds
"Mean Wins: 9.5" Really? 2-3 down the stretch? The simulation also gives Oakland a 1.9% chance of winning the AFC West... now THAT would be hilarious...
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Old 11-25-2008, 08:46 PM   #4
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Default Re: Playoff odds
FWIW, other sites put the Pats' odds at 50-55%.
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Old 11-25-2008, 08:57 PM   #5
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Default Re: Playoff odds
If the Patriots beat the Steelers, the percentage will skyrocket, no matter what the other 'top' teams do.
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Old 11-25-2008, 09:02 PM   #6
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Default Re: Playoff odds
i dont buy their methodology here.
it projects Ravens to win 10.5 games, and pats to win 9.5. we are both at 7-4, and they have a much harder schedule.

i would buy the 50% vs the 35%

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Old 11-25-2008, 09:02 PM   #7
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Default Re: Playoff odds
What a load of crap. The guy who put that together needs to get a life. I'm going to make a copy of that nonsense and compare it to the final results. I'm willing to bet now that aside from the obvious division winners, he's 50-50.
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Old 11-25-2008, 09:03 PM   #8
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Default Re: Playoff odds
Colts with a 86.7% shot of making the playoffs?

A loss along with a Patriots/Ravens win next week and they're back out of the top six seeds.

Top six chances to make the playoffs in the AFC...

Titans: 100%
Jets: 91.8%
Steelers: 87.4%
Colts: 86.7%
Ravens: 81.9%
Broncos: 71.2%

Just happen to be the top 6 current playoff seeds, in order of record. Amazing.
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Old 11-25-2008, 09:08 PM   #9
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Default Re: Playoff odds
I wonder what odds they gave the Giants last year or the Steelers two years before that??
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Old 11-25-2008, 09:09 PM   #10
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Default Re: Playoff odds
According to that site we have a 0.6% chance of winning the Super Bowl.
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