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Old 01-30-2013, 07:57 PM   #1
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Default Better off getting a Safety in the draft or in FA??

One of our pressing needs this offseason is safety. Fortunately for us, the FA class and draft class are both strong this year. Do we go after a young, big name like Byrd, or draft a safety, like Vaccaro or Matt Elam in the 1st round?? My problem is if we do one of these is, we're basically giving up on Tavon Wilson as a big part of the future. Sure, he could still be a role player, but with McCourty at one spot, and a guy like Byrd or Elam at the other safety spot, it wouldn't seem like we'd have any big time plans for Wilson, right??

That's why for me, Ed Reed would be a good way to go. What better way for Wilson to develop then let him watch for a year or two behind one of the greatest to ever play the game?? He might have a bit of a price tag compared to some others, but to me he'd be worth it.

So as I asked in the thread title, what should we do??
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Old 01-30-2013, 08:06 PM   #2
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Default Re: Better off getting a Safety in the draft or in FA??

What's the argument against doing both? Service the now and develop for tomorrow.
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Old 01-30-2013, 08:20 PM   #3
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Default Re: Better off getting a Safety in the draft or in FA??

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What's the argument against doing both? Service the now and develop for tomorrow.
That's an expensive option, in a couple of respects:

1. Outlay. It would require spending a non-trivial amount to sign a FA like Ed Reed and also using a non-trivial amount of limited draft capital to draft a high safety like Elam or Reid (Vaccaro seems projected to be gone well before we pick, at least right now).

2. Roster crunch. We already have 4 safeties on the roster, including Ebner as a STer, but he got some playing time and the team seems to like his upside. How many can we carry? 5? 6?

My personal take would be you try to solve both the short and long term problem by signing a relatively young safety rather than someone like Ed Reed. Kenny Phillips is my preference, as he's only 26, and injuries should keep his cost down. He worked very well with Antrel Rolle, who played a somewhat similar role to what Devin McCourty is playing for as at FS. He can lay the lumber but still has good range.

If we can't land someone like Phillips in FA, then I'd look at the draft, but it would be my second choice, because I think our secondary has suffered from too much inexperience. I'd rather not add more rookies in key positions right now. A solid experienced S such as Phillips would add more, IMHO, than someone like Elam or Reid.
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Old 01-30-2013, 08:28 PM   #4
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Default Re: Better off getting a Safety in the draft or in FA??

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That's an expensive option, in a couple of respects:

1. Outlay. It would require spending a non-trivial amount to sign a FA like Ed Reed and also using a non-trivial amount of limited draft capital to draft a high safety like Elam or Reid (Vaccaro seems projected to be gone well before we pick, at least right now).

2. Roster crunch. We already have 4 safeties on the roster, including Ebner as a STer, but he got some playing time and the team seems to like his upside. How many can we carry? 5? 6?

My personal take would be you try to solve both the short and long term problem by signing a relatively young safety rather than someone like Ed Reed. Kenny Phillips is my preference, as he's only 26, and injuries should keep his cost down. He worked very well with Antrel Rolle, who played a somewhat similar role to what Devin McCourty is playing for as at FS. He can lay the lumber but still has good range.

If we can't land someone like Phillips in FA, then I'd look at the draft, but it would be my second choice, because I think our secondary has suffered from too much inexperience. I'd rather not add more rookies in key positions right now. A solid experienced S such as Phillips would add more, IMHO, than someone like Elam or Reid.
I'm not disagreeing with you mayo. I don't understand why the Pats can't bring in a vet and draft a safety.
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Old 01-30-2013, 08:45 PM   #5
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Default Re: Better off getting a Safety in the draft or in FA??

i want Elam really bad in the draft and i think ed reed would be perfect to help out everyone all of our safeties are young and learning the position so need help with their development and ed reed would help the team with his play and in the future by teaching the young safeties. What better way to learn from one of if not the best safety of all time
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Old 01-30-2013, 08:51 PM   #6
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Default Re: Better off getting a Safety in the draft or in FA??

same as every other position, build through the draft. but f we can get Reed at a reasonable price we should sign him
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Old 01-30-2013, 08:54 PM   #7
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Default Re: Better off getting a Safety in the draft or in FA??

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My problem is if we do one of these is, we're basically giving up on Tavon Wilson as a big part of the future. Sure, he could still be a role player, but with McCourty at one spot, and a guy like Byrd or Elam at the other safety spot, it wouldn't seem like we'd have any big time plans for Wilson, right??
I'm not really seeing it this way to be honest with you.

I think that if Belichick has the ability to realistically improve any position, he will always do it depsite looking back at who he picked last year, especially if we're not talking about a first rounder.

Wilson saw a decent amount of reps for a rookie, and can still be a dime back or rotational player with the ability to start in a pinch if needed. If they brought in a bigger name FA signing then Wilson would still be in the battle for the #3 spot in his second year, which is nothing to be ashamed about.

He's under rookie contract so he's cheap, and he isn't going anywhere. My guess is that Belichick would be perfectly happy with his 2nd round selection if it meant the position of safety would be improved upon, no matter what the route was of getting there.
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Old 01-30-2013, 08:57 PM   #8
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Default Re: Better off getting a Safety in the draft or in FA??

No need to decide now...just try to get the best FA for the money and then if that fails go to the draft for one.
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Old 01-30-2013, 09:00 PM   #9
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I'm not disagreeing with you mayo. I don't understand why the Pats can't bring in a vet and draft a safety.
I'm guessing that the development of Wilson and the prospect of Gregory playing as a backup/rotational guy would be the two main variables aside from whether or not Belichick reels in a bigger name FA signing at the position.

If he's good with Wilson and Gregory as backups/rotation guys then he may feel that there are better areas to address. If he's not comfortable with those two then we may end up seeing a draft pick AND a free agent signing.

I suppose the CB situation would definitely come into play too, as that may be more of a focus for the draft depending upon whether or not Talib or Arrington stays etc. Lots of variables in the secondary this year.
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Old 01-30-2013, 09:03 PM   #10
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Default Re: Better off getting a Safety in the draft or in FA??

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I'm not disagreeing with you mayo. I don't understand why the Pats can't bring in a vet and draft a safety.
Well by drafting a safety do you mean drafting one in round one or waiting until the 3rd round?? I think mayo made a good point, we already have an inexperienced secondary, and that we could use some vets in the secondary.

It all would depend on who we brought in. We could bring in a big name safety and draft a safety in the 3rd or with one of our late rounders. Or we could draft a lower market, yet starting caliber safety, and draft a Vaccaro, Elam in the 1st round?? I would be okay with either of these scenarios. But if you're saying, draft Matt Elam round one, and also go after Ed Reed, or even Jarius Byrd for that matter, I'd think that'd going a little overboard there, especially price wise.


I remain firm on my opinion, the safeties in this draft look nice, but I think we've done enough drafting in the secondary, and it's time to get some experience.

I also agree with Mayo on Phillips, he would be my second choice. We could probably get him much cheaper than Ed due to his injury history.
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